Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.216443 0.248719 0.285072 0.329225 0.381635 0.442145 0.517706
2025-11-09 0.164987 0.206678 0.258702 0.329157 0.423264 0.546322 0.722230
2025-11-16 0.134857 0.179368 0.239068 0.326556 0.454168 0.637818 0.930249
2025-11-23 0.114070 0.158841 0.222336 0.321368 0.476462 0.718092 1.139919
2025-11-30 0.102400 0.148393 0.216896 0.329852 0.518580 0.835115 1.438437
2025-12-07 0.090213 0.135009 0.204439 0.324306 0.535756 0.913495 1.691069
2025-12-14 0.081908 0.126257 0.197572 0.326105 0.564853 1.018185 2.025141
2025-12-21 0.074695 0.118197 0.190486 0.325941 0.589721 1.119852 2.385781
2025-12-28 0.069965 0.113579 0.188428 0.334193 0.631864 1.265825 2.898428
2026-01-04 0.065379 0.108606 0.184987 0.339081 0.667929 1.407587 3.455863
2026-01-11 0.061386 0.104186 0.181909 0.344037 0.704941 1.560952 4.108622
2026-01-18 0.058467 0.101354 0.181378 0.353983 0.754983 1.759434 4.983941
2026-01-25 0.054889 0.097001 0.177549 0.356728 0.789924 1.932535 5.879024
2026-02-01 0.051374 0.092420 0.172756 0.356702 0.818530 2.098583 6.848549
2026-02-08 0.047966 0.087696 0.167110 0.353851 0.839448 2.249779 7.856886
2026-02-15 0.044662 0.082858 0.160673 0.348151 0.851688 2.379270 8.864037
2026-02-22 0.042955 0.081073 0.160499 0.357475 0.907504 2.667170 10.772234
2026-03-01 0.040178 0.076821 0.154484 0.351380 0.917877 2.806799 12.090494
2026-03-08 0.038256 0.074189 0.151784 0.353357 0.952970 3.047841 14.141693
2026-03-15 0.036343 0.071408 0.148448 0.353176 0.981567 3.276778 16.346554
2026-03-22 0.035189 0.070166 0.148533 0.362246 1.042300 3.658274 19.900275
2026-03-29 0.033878 0.068462 0.147342 0.367621 1.092367 4.019205 23.766938
2026-04-05 0.032660 0.066861 0.146228 0.373072 1.144415 4.414642 28.439338